Banks Can't Lend Won't Lend
Banks are at the heart of the financial crisis. For two decades they demanded and got deregulation and “light touch” supervision. This allowed them to minimise their capital reserves and invent risky new financial products in the search for greater profits. But their actions destabilised the whole financial system and plunged the major economies into recession.
Those deemed “too big to fail” have received billions in capital injections to prop them up and to encourage them to lend to each other and non-financial institutions. Some have been partly or wholly nationalised.
Central banks have slashed interest rates but little of the
reduction has been passed onto consumers. Instead banks have
hoarded these extra profits to double their tier one capital over
the last year, with the proportion of profits saved relative to
those used in dividends and lending standing at around three to
one.
In the UK Chancellor Alistair Darling has banged the table and
issued dire threats to the banks if they continue to refuse to lend
more to small businesses and consumers and on cheaper terms. But to
little effect, as the surviving banks need to repair themselves in
a commercial, profit-making environment and want to avoid the
excesses of the sub-prime lending which caused them so much trouble
in the first place.
And in the UK at least the banks have been told by the government they have to repay the public money provided them in the short term (i.e. up to five years). This means they need to amass capital and profits now, which means little lending and at higher rates.
Secondly, regulators such as the FSA now insist the banks must hold much more capital and cash in their balance sheets relative to the value of their loans. As asset prices like property, shares and securities continue to fall, the banks have to both write down their assets, save to offset those write downs and raise more capital against increasing recession driven losses. Thirdly, British banks depend a lot on overseas sources of funding, sources that are calling in their loans rather than making new ones.
So consumer credit has become much more expensive and difficult
to obtain. In September, US companies were only able to raise $10bn
in short term investment-grade debt compared to $41bn a year ago.
The IMF estimates that the banks’ bad housing related debts alone
will amount to $1.6tn, of which around $1tn has been accounted for
so far.
In this context the private interest of the banks and finance
houses conflicts with the public interest of maintaining the free
flow of credit. And indeed this is one conflict capitalism cannot
overcome, namely, the anarchic, blind actions of the financial
institutions all acting individually to preserve their capital at
the expense of a functioning real economy.
The scale of the crisis demands an immediate end to this competitive, anarchic chaos and the centralisation of financial assets so that an emergency plan can keep people in work and workers spending their wages.
The UK measures have been dubbed part-nationalisation by some
analysts because the government is issuing guarantees and taking
out preference shares in those banks that take its help.
Brown has not sought to take over the running of the banks in
question, nor even take seats on the banks’ governing boards. He
has set up a Financial Investment Corporation as an “arms length”
entity to oversee the government’s assets in these banks on a
commercial basis. The furthest treasury influence has got is to
invite them in for breakfast to try and strong-arm them into
passing on interest rate cuts.
It is noteworthy that after the Bank of England slashed its
rates, every one of the semi-nationalised banks passed on the cut
in full to mortgage purchasers but none of the fully private banks
did so.
So the banks remain in the hands of the private sector chiefs who
brought this debacle about. Full and complete expropriation of the
banks – at the cost of the existing shareholders – under the
control of trade unions, mortgage holders and depositors – is the
only way to ensure jobs, offices and factories public need, are not
sacrificed for private greed.
Sat 28, February 2009 @ 12:19
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